FSC District North Charleston Event presented by SCDE & City of North Charleston Recreation

Qualification · Qualification 51

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

54.42 – 68.66

46%54%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

126 – 108

Prediction missed · off by 55.5 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 196.8 ±9.8

1293Pandamaniacs

Season APEX 26.4Event APEX -5.7Rank 27Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1648G3 Robotics

Season APEX 139.4Event APEX 63.96Rank 3Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10591No Cap

Season APEX 31Event APEX -3.84Rank 15Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 175.3 ±11.2

11167Team Titan

Season APEX 106.3Event APEX 38.62Rank 8Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3976Electric Hornets

Season APEX 23Event APEX 8.87Rank 18Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4864INNovation Station

Season APEX 46Event APEX 21.17Rank 13Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1293, 1648, 10591

/ 100 compat

Projected

54.4 pts

~1.1 RP (district)

Teams: 1293, 1648, 10591

Auto

21.5 43%

Teleop

26.5 52%

Endgame

2.5 5%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 18%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 11167, 3976, 4864

/ 100 compat

Projected

68.7 pts

~1.3 RP (district)

Teams: 11167, 3976, 4864

Auto

16.7 28%

Teleop

24.8 41%

Endgame

19.2 32%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 18%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.14 · Blue 1.34

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score54.4pts

Blue projected score68.7pts

Red win probability46%

Event bonus sample140alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 18%, blue 21%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -14.2
Score range: 38–85
Upset likelihood: 46%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 234 vs event baseline 86.7.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

196.8Season APEX175.3

21.5Auto16.7

26.5Teleop24.8

2.5Endgame19.2

49Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	18	23
teleop	64	55
endgame	44	30
foul	0	0
total	126	108

Result

Final score

126 – 108

Prediction missed · off by 55.5 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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