FSC District North Charleston Event presented by SCDE & City of North Charleston Recreation

Qualification · Qualification 50

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

6.33 – 277.06

3%97%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

41 – 308

Prediction correct · off by 32.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 155.4 ±10.4

6167CB Bearbots

Season APEX 54.7Event APEX 14.68Rank 14Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3489Category 5

Season APEX 33.2Event APEX -12.78Rank 24Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4533Phoenix

Season APEX 67.5Event APEX 4.43Rank 25Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 447.3 ±9.4

9496LYNK

A+

Season APEX 297.2Event APEX 193.37Rank 1Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

342Burning Magnetos

Season APEX 91Event APEX 55.42Rank 4Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10367Category 4 Storm Surge

Season APEX 59.1Event APEX 28.27Rank 11Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6167, 3489, 4533

/ 100 compat

Projected

6.3 pts

~0.2 RP (district)

Teams: 6167, 3489, 4533

Auto

9.8 100%

Teleop

-10.7 0%

Endgame

2.0 100%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 7%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9496, 342, 10367

/ 100 compat

Projected

277.1 pts

~2.3 RP (district)

Teams: 9496, 342, 10367

Auto

62.4 22%

Teleop

153.6 54%

Endgame

67.1 24%

Strengths

· 9496 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 7%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.18 · Blue 2.28

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score6.3pts

Blue projected score277.1pts

Red win probability3%

Event bonus sample140alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 7%, blue 30%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -270.7
Score range: -9–292
Upset likelihood: 3%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 349 vs event baseline 84.9.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

155.4Season APEX447.3

9.8Auto62.4

-10.7Teleop153.6

2Endgame67.1

99Consistency43

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	12	63
teleop	13	168
endgame	11	77
foul	5	0
total	41	308

Result

Final score

41 – 308

Prediction correct · off by 32.8 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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