FSC District North Charleston Event presented by SCDE & City of North Charleston Recreation

Qualification · Qualification 49

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

107.28 – 45.85

68%32%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

193 – 70

Prediction correct · off by 54.9 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 450.3 ±9.3

6366RAM Rodz Robotics

Season APEX 180.5Event APEX 25.65Rank 5Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7085Wired Warriors

Season APEX 49.1Event APEX 28.09Rank 12Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4451ROBOTZ Garage

Season APEX 220.7Event APEX 53.54Rank 2Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 139.4 ±10.5

8430The Hatch Batch

Season APEX 51.3Event APEX 17.74Rank 7Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3490Viper Drive

Season APEX 53.1Event APEX 23.96Rank 16Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10361Gatorbots

Season APEX 35Event APEX 4.15Rank 22Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6366, 7085, 4451

/ 100 compat

Projected

107.3 pts

~1.6 RP (district)

Teams: 6366, 7085, 4451

Auto

13.9 14%

Teleop

48.3 50%

Endgame

33.8 35%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 22%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 8430, 3490, 10361

/ 100 compat

Projected

45.9 pts

~0.8 RP (district)

Teams: 8430, 3490, 10361

Auto

15.8 38%

Teleop

20.5 50%

Endgame

5.0 12%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 22%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.62 · Blue 0.8

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score107.3pts

Blue projected score45.9pts

Red win probability68%

Event bonus sample140alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 22%, blue 12%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 61.4
Score range: 31–122
Upset likelihood: 32%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 263 vs event baseline 83.9.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

450.3Season APEX139.4

13.9Auto15.8

48.3Teleop20.5

33.8Endgame5

37Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	33	13
teleop	116	14
endgame	44	23
foul	0	20
total	193	70

Result

Final score

193 – 70

Prediction correct · off by 54.9 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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