FSC District North Charleston Event presented by SCDE & City of North Charleston Recreation

Qualification · Qualification 45

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

48.26 – 127.08

27%73%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

74 – 136

Prediction correct · off by 17.3 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 118.2 ±11.7

11398Shark Bytes

Season APEX 42.1Event APEX 27.95Rank 19Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3976Electric Hornets

Season APEX 23Event APEX -1.13Rank 18Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3490Viper Drive

Season APEX 53.1Event APEX 21.44Rank 16Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 414.8 ±9.3

4451ROBOTZ Garage

Season APEX 220.7Event APEX 56.61Rank 2Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1648G3 Robotics

Season APEX 139.4Event APEX 54.96Rank 3Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6167CB Bearbots

Season APEX 54.7Event APEX 15.51Rank 14Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 11398, 3976, 3490

/ 100 compat

Projected

48.3 pts

~0.8 RP (district)

Teams: 11398, 3976, 3490

Auto

14.3 29%

Teleop

14.3 29%

Endgame

20.2 41%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 17%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 4451, 1648, 6167

/ 100 compat

Projected

127.1 pts

~1.8 RP (district)

Teams: 4451, 1648, 6167

Auto

22.1 19%

Teleop

61.6 52%

Endgame

35.7 30%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 17%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.75 · Blue 1.78

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score48.3pts

Blue projected score127.1pts

Red win probability27%

Event bonus sample140alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 17%, blue 28%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -78.8
Score range: 33–142
Upset likelihood: 27%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 210 vs event baseline 82.5.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

118.2Season APEX414.8

14.3Auto22.1

14.3Teleop61.6

20.2Endgame35.7

0Consistency20

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	18	34
teleop	30	72
endgame	11	30
foul	15	0
total	74	136

Result

Final score

74 – 136

Prediction correct · off by 17.3 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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