FSC District North Charleston Event presented by SCDE & City of North Charleston Recreation

Qualification · Qualification 44

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

100.34 – 96.59

51%49%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

72 – 69

Prediction correct · off by 28 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 199.4 ±9.3

7085Wired Warriors

Season APEX 49.1Event APEX 32.33Rank 12Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8430The Hatch Batch

Season APEX 51.3Event APEX 23.09Rank 7Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8116Hatchet Robotics

Season APEX 99Event APEX 44.92Rank 6Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 299.3 ±9.8

342Burning Magnetos

Season APEX 91Event APEX 55.11Rank 4Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10388The Iron Wolverine Angels

Season APEX 27.8Event APEX 11.33Rank 21Record 4-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6366RAM Rodz Robotics

Season APEX 180.5Event APEX 30.15Rank 5Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 7085, 8430, 8116

/ 100 compat

Projected

100.3 pts

~1.3 RP (district)

Teams: 7085, 8430, 8116

Auto

31.6 35%

Teleop

36.6 41%

Endgame

21.6 24%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 19%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 342, 10388, 6366

/ 100 compat

Projected

96.6 pts

~1.2 RP (district)

Teams: 342, 10388, 6366

Auto

20.3 21%

Teleop

44.2 46%

Endgame

32.1 33%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 19%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.25 · Blue 1.21

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score100.3pts

Blue projected score96.6pts

Red win probability51%

Event bonus sample140alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 19%, blue 19%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 3.8
Score range: 82–115
Upset likelihood: 49%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-16
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

Close match

Combined score 141 vs event baseline 82.8.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

199.4Season APEX299.3

31.6Auto20.3

36.6Teleop44.2

21.6Endgame32.1

0Consistency34

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	19	14
teleop	43	38
endgame	5	17
foul	5	0
total	72	69

Result

Final score

72 – 69

Prediction correct · off by 28 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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