FSC District North Charleston Event presented by SCDE & City of North Charleston Recreation

Qualification · Qualification 43

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

48.41 – 37.61

53%47%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

28 – 66

Prediction missed · off by 24.4 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 144.9 ±10.4

11424Boa Constructors

Season APEX 50.4Event APEX 26.27Rank 10Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8137Byting Bulldogs

Season APEX 57.9Event APEX 9.54Rank 26Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4083The Legendary Iron Wolverines

Season APEX 36.6Event APEX 12.6Rank 20Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 221.2 ±9.8

10231Midnight Circuits

Season APEX 47.4Event APEX -0.99Rank 17Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

11167Team Titan

Season APEX 106.3Event APEX 35.17Rank 8Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4533Phoenix

Season APEX 67.5Event APEX 3.43Rank 25Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 11424, 8137, 4083

/ 100 compat

Projected

48.4 pts

~1.3 RP (district)

Teams: 11424, 8137, 4083

Auto

18.3 35%

Teleop

28.5 54%

Endgame

5.6 11%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 15%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 10231, 11167, 4533

/ 100 compat

Projected

37.6 pts

~1.1 RP (district)

Teams: 10231, 11167, 4533

Auto

9.3 38%

Teleop

7.5 31%

Endgame

7.6 31%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 15%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.26 · Blue 1.08

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score48.4pts

Blue projected score37.6pts

Red win probability53%

Event bonus sample140alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 15%, blue 11%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 10.8
Score range: 23–63
Upset likelihood: 47%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 94 vs event baseline 83.7.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

144.9Season APEX221.2

18.3Auto9.3

28.5Teleop7.5

5.6Endgame7.6

24Consistency37

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	14	23
teleop	6	36
endgame	8	7
foul	0	0
total	28	66

Result

Final score

28 – 66

Prediction missed · off by 24.4 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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