FSC District North Charleston Event presented by SCDE & City of North Charleston Recreation

Qualification · Qualification 39

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

27.87 – 107.5

27%73%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

42 – 132

Prediction correct · off by 19.3 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 113.6 ±10.4

10591No Cap

Season APEX 31Event APEX -4.74Rank 15Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4864INNovation Station

Season APEX 46Event APEX 18.79Rank 13Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4083The Legendary Iron Wolverines

Season APEX 36.6Event APEX 13.82Rank 20Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 230.6 ±9.8

1648G3 Robotics

Season APEX 139.4Event APEX 50.83Rank 3Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7085Wired Warriors

Season APEX 49.1Event APEX 32.21Rank 12Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

11398Shark Bytes

Season APEX 42.1Event APEX 24.46Rank 19Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 10591, 4864, 4083

/ 100 compat

Projected

27.9 pts

~0.8 RP (district)

Teams: 10591, 4864, 4083

Auto

11.4 38%

Teleop

15.4 52%

Endgame

2.9 10%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 18%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 1648, 7085, 11398

/ 100 compat

Projected

107.5 pts

~1.7 RP (district)

Teams: 1648, 7085, 11398

Auto

35.4 35%

Teleop

42.3 42%

Endgame

22.5 22%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 18%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.76 · Blue 1.72

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score27.9pts

Blue projected score107.5pts

Red win probability27%

Event bonus sample140alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 18%, blue 21%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -79.6
Score range: 13–123
Upset likelihood: 27%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 174 vs event baseline 82.1.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

113.6Season APEX230.6

11.4Auto35.4

15.4Teleop42.3

2.9Endgame22.5

76Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	12	35
teleop	22	71
endgame	8	26
foul	0	0
total	42	132

Result

Final score

42 – 132

Prediction correct · off by 19.3 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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