FSC District North Charleston Event presented by SCDE & City of North Charleston Recreation

Qualification · Qualification 38

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

28.35 – 19.36

53%47%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

85 – 21

Prediction correct · off by 29.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 269.5 ±9.8

3489Category 5

Season APEX 33.2Event APEX -17.67Rank 24Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6366RAM Rodz Robotics

Season APEX 180.5Event APEX 25.91Rank 5Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

11254FIRST Ignition

Season APEX 55.8Event APEX 20.11Rank 9Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 167.3 ±9.8

10231Midnight Circuits

Season APEX 47.4Event APEX 0.29Rank 17Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10619Rana's Rivets

Season APEX 93.5Event APEX 28.53Rank 23Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1293Pandamaniacs

Season APEX 26.4Event APEX -9.46Rank 27Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 3489, 6366, 11254

/ 100 compat

Projected

28.4 pts

~1.2 RP (district)

Teams: 3489, 6366, 11254

Auto

17.9 69%

Teleop

9.8 38%

Endgame

-1.6 0%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 11%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 10231, 10619, 1293

/ 100 compat

Projected

19.4 pts

~1.1 RP (district)

Teams: 10231, 10619, 1293

Auto

8.8 43%

Teleop

9.5 46%

Endgame

2.3 11%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 11%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.21 · Blue 1.12

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score28.4pts

Blue projected score19.4pts

Red win probability53%

Event bonus sample140alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 11%, blue 13%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 9
Score range: 4–43
Upset likelihood: 47%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 106 vs event baseline 82.8.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

269.5Season APEX167.3

17.9Auto8.8

9.8Teleop9.5

-1.6Endgame2.3

79Consistency54

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	21	7
teleop	37	2
endgame	27	2
foul	0	10
total	85	21

Result

Final score

85 – 21

Prediction correct · off by 29.1 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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