FSC District North Charleston Event presented by SCDE & City of North Charleston Recreation

Qualification · Qualification 37

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

260.06 – 53.8

93%7%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

289 – 60

Prediction correct · off by 17.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 453.9 ±8.8

9496LYNK

A+

Season APEX 297.2Event APEX 198.38Rank 1Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

11424Boa Constructors

Season APEX 50.4Event APEX 26.83Rank 10Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

11167Team Titan

Season APEX 106.3Event APEX 34.85Rank 8Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 121.9 ±11

10361Gatorbots

Season APEX 35Event APEX 15.24Rank 22Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

10367Category 4 Storm Surge

Season APEX 59.1Event APEX 24.26Rank 11Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10388The Iron Wolverine Angels

Season APEX 27.8Event APEX 14.3Rank 21Record 4-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9496, 11424, 11167

/ 100 compat

Projected

260.1 pts

~2.2 RP (district)

Teams: 9496, 11424, 11167

Auto

69.8 27%

Teleop

136.6 53%

Endgame

50.5 20%

Strengths

· 9496 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 27%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 10361, 10367, 10388

/ 100 compat

Projected

53.8 pts

~0.3 RP (district)

Teams: 10361, 10367, 10388

Auto

19.5 37%

Teleop

21.1 40%

Endgame

12.3 23%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 27%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.18 · Blue 0.29

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score260.1pts

Blue projected score53.8pts

Red win probability93%

Event bonus sample140alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 27%, blue 11%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 206.3
Score range: 40–274
Upset likelihood: 7%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 349 vs event baseline 80.3.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

453.9Season APEX121.9

69.8Auto19.5

136.6Teleop21.1

50.5Endgame12.3

45Consistency57

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	74	19
teleop	159	26
endgame	56	15
foul	0	0
total	289	60

Result

Final score

289 – 60

Prediction correct · off by 17.6 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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