FSC District North Charleston Event presented by SCDE & City of North Charleston Recreation

Qualification · Qualification 36

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

53.36 – 104.09

35%65%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

38 – 114

Prediction correct · off by 12.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 146.2 ±10.4

11398Shark Bytes

Season APEX 42.1Event APEX 27.8Rank 19Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4533Phoenix

Season APEX 67.5Event APEX 8.62Rank 25Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4083The Legendary Iron Wolverines

Season APEX 36.6Event APEX 16.94Rank 20Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 244.7 ±9.8

6167CB Bearbots

Season APEX 54.7Event APEX 10.05Rank 14Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8116Hatchet Robotics

Season APEX 99Event APEX 47.79Rank 6Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

342Burning Magnetos

Season APEX 91Event APEX 46.25Rank 4Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 11398, 4533, 4083

/ 100 compat

Projected

53.4 pts

~0.8 RP (district)

Teams: 11398, 4533, 4083

Auto

9.7 21%

Teleop

26.9 57%

Endgame

10.2 22%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 10%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 6167, 8116, 342

/ 100 compat

Projected

104.1 pts

~1.6 RP (district)

Teams: 6167, 8116, 342

Auto

25.7 24%

Teleop

52.1 48%

Endgame

30.9 28%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 10%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.83 · Blue 1.6

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score53.4pts

Blue projected score104.1pts

Red win probability35%

Event bonus sample140alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 10%, blue 25%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -50.7
Score range: 39–118
Upset likelihood: 35%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 152 vs event baseline 80.4.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

146.2Season APEX244.7

9.7Auto25.7

26.9Teleop52.1

10.2Endgame30.9

45Consistency69

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	12	23
teleop	13	52
endgame	8	39
foul	5	0
total	38	114

Result

Final score

38 – 114

Prediction correct · off by 12.6 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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