FSC District North Charleston Event presented by SCDE & City of North Charleston Recreation

Qualification · Qualification 34

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

3.73 – 33.17

41%59%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

33 – 35

Prediction correct · off by 15.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 112.1 ±10.4

10388The Iron Wolverine Angels

Season APEX 27.8Event APEX 10.01Rank 21Record 4-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8137Byting Bulldogs

Season APEX 57.9Event APEX 7.16Rank 26Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1293Pandamaniacs

Season APEX 26.4Event APEX -13.44Rank 27Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 108.4 ±12.2

3976Electric Hornets

Season APEX 23Event APEX -7.7Rank 18Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

10361Gatorbots

Season APEX 35Event APEX 14.41Rank 22Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

11424Boa Constructors

Season APEX 50.4Event APEX 26.46Rank 10Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 10388, 8137, 1293

/ 100 compat

Projected

3.7 pts

~1.0 RP (district)

Teams: 10388, 8137, 1293

Auto

8.2 100%

Teleop

-7.1 0%

Endgame

2.3 68%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 11%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 3976, 10361, 11424

/ 100 compat

Projected

33.2 pts

~1.4 RP (district)

Teams: 3976, 10361, 11424

Auto

12.0 32%

Teleop

19.8 53%

Endgame

5.7 15%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 11%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.96 · Blue 1.37

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score3.7pts

Blue projected score33.2pts

Red win probability41%

Event bonus sample140alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 11%, blue 15%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -29.4
Score range: -11–48
Upset likelihood: 41%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

Close match

Combined score 68 vs event baseline 82.6.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

112.1Season APEX108.4

8.2Auto12

-7.1Teleop19.8

2.3Endgame5.7

52Consistency31

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	12	16
teleop	15	13
endgame	6	6
foul	0	0
total	33	35

Result

Final score

33 – 35

Prediction correct · off by 15.6 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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