FSC District North Charleston Event presented by SCDE & City of North Charleston Recreation

Qualification · Qualification 32

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

132.94 – 67.17

69%31%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

143 – 68

Prediction correct · off by 5.4 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 336.7 ±9.3

11167Team Titan

Season APEX 106.3Event APEX 31.69Rank 8Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1648G3 Robotics

Season APEX 139.4Event APEX 57.05Rank 3Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

342Burning Magnetos

Season APEX 91Event APEX 44.2Rank 4Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 143.7 ±9.8

11254FIRST Ignition

Season APEX 55.8Event APEX 21.39Rank 9Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4083The Legendary Iron Wolverines

Season APEX 36.6Event APEX 19.19Rank 20Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8430The Hatch Batch

Season APEX 51.3Event APEX 26.59Rank 7Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 11167, 1648, 342

/ 100 compat

Projected

132.9 pts

~1.7 RP (district)

Teams: 11167, 1648, 342

Auto

29.6 22%

Teleop

70.1 52%

Endgame

34.3 26%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 29%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 11254, 4083, 8430

/ 100 compat

Projected

67.2 pts

~0.8 RP (district)

Teams: 11254, 4083, 8430

Auto

28.4 50%

Teleop

28.2 50%

Endgame

0.3 1%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 29%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.72 · Blue 0.81

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score132.9pts

Blue projected score67.2pts

Red win probability69%

Event bonus sample140alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 29%, blue 16%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 65.8
Score range: 53–147
Upset likelihood: 31%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 211 vs event baseline 79.1.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

336.7Season APEX143.7

29.6Auto28.4

70.1Teleop28.2

34.3Endgame0.3

97Consistency10

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	42	20
teleop	60	29
endgame	41	14
foul	0	5
total	143	68

Result

Final score

143 – 68

Prediction correct · off by 5.4 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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