FSC District North Charleston Event presented by SCDE & City of North Charleston Recreation

Qualification · Qualification 31

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

47.74 – 23.84

57%43%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

26 – 73

Prediction missed · off by 35.5 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 147.6 ±11

10361Gatorbots

Season APEX 35Event APEX 22.23Rank 22Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6167CB Bearbots

Season APEX 54.7Event APEX 14.8Rank 14Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8137Byting Bulldogs

Season APEX 57.9Event APEX 10.71Rank 26Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 281.7 ±9.8

4451ROBOTZ Garage

Season APEX 220.7Event APEX 42.48Rank 2Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10388The Iron Wolverine Angels

Season APEX 27.8Event APEX 5.81Rank 21Record 4-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3489Category 5

Season APEX 33.2Event APEX -24.45Rank 24Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 10361, 6167, 8137

/ 100 compat

Projected

47.7 pts

~1.3 RP (district)

Teams: 10361, 6167, 8137

Auto

4.4 9%

Teleop

38.6 81%

Endgame

4.6 10%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 13%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 4451, 10388, 3489

/ 100 compat

Projected

23.8 pts

~1.0 RP (district)

Teams: 4451, 10388, 3489

Auto

-0.1 0%

Teleop

-7.7 0%

Endgame

11.3 100%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 13%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.32 · Blue 1

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score47.7pts

Blue projected score23.8pts

Red win probability57%

Event bonus sample140alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 13%, blue 11%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 23.9
Score range: 10–62
Upset likelihood: 43%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 99 vs event baseline 80.1.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

147.6Season APEX281.7

4.4Auto-0.1

38.6Teleop-7.7

4.6Endgame11.3

48Consistency49

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	20	9
teleop	4	12
endgame	2	52
foul	0	0
total	26	73

Result

Final score

26 – 73

Prediction missed · off by 35.5 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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