FSC District North Charleston Event presented by SCDE & City of North Charleston Recreation

Qualification · Qualification 30

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

54.16 – 72.76

44%56%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

63 – 70

Prediction correct · off by 5.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 146.9 ±10.4

7085Wired Warriors

Season APEX 49.1Event APEX 37.07Rank 12Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

11424Boa Constructors

Season APEX 50.4Event APEX 28.51Rank 10Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10231Midnight Circuits

Season APEX 47.4Event APEX -11.42Rank 17Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 198.1 ±9.8

4864INNovation Station

Season APEX 46Event APEX 10.48Rank 13Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3490Viper Drive

Season APEX 53.1Event APEX 12.56Rank 16Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8116Hatchet Robotics

Season APEX 99Event APEX 49.72Rank 6Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 7085, 11424, 10231

/ 100 compat

Projected

54.2 pts

~1.1 RP (district)

Teams: 7085, 11424, 10231

Auto

22.0 50%

Teleop

18.8 43%

Endgame

3.3 7%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 18%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 4864, 3490, 8116

/ 100 compat

Projected

72.8 pts

~1.4 RP (district)

Teams: 4864, 3490, 8116

Auto

24.0 30%

Teleop

30.9 38%

Endgame

25.5 32%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 18%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.1 · Blue 1.35

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score54.2pts

Blue projected score72.8pts

Red win probability44%

Event bonus sample140alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 18%, blue 19%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -18.6
Score range: 39–88
Upset likelihood: 44%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 133 vs event baseline 80.6.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

146.9Season APEX198.1

22Auto24

18.8Teleop30.9

3.3Endgame25.5

59Consistency46

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	25	26
teleop	11	30
endgame	27	14
foul	0	0
total	63	70

Result

Final score

63 – 70

Prediction correct · off by 5.8 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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