FSC District North Charleston Event presented by SCDE & City of North Charleston Recreation

Qualification · Qualification 3

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

43.95 – 97.67

34%66%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

1 – 110

Prediction correct · off by 27.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 135.5 ±11

3490Viper Drive

Season APEX 53.1Event APEX 25.9Rank 16Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10361Gatorbots

Season APEX 35Event APEX 11.39Rank 22Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

10231Midnight Circuits

Season APEX 47.4Event APEX 6.66Rank 17Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 235.8 ±9.3

10619Rana's Rivets

Season APEX 93.5Event APEX 19.66Rank 23Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100

342Burning Magnetos

Season APEX 91Event APEX 63.7Rank 4Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8430The Hatch Batch

Season APEX 51.3Event APEX 14.31Rank 7Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 3490, 10361, 10231

/ 100 compat

Projected

44 pts

~0.8 RP (district)

Teams: 3490, 10361, 10231

Auto

12.8 33%

Teleop

16.1 42%

Endgame

9.4 25%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 12%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 10619, 342, 8430

/ 100 compat

Projected

97.7 pts

~1.6 RP (district)

Teams: 10619, 342, 8430

Auto

24.9 28%

Teleop

42.4 47%

Endgame

22.6 25%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 12%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.84 · Blue 1.58

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score44pts

Blue projected score97.7pts

Red win probability34%

Event bonus sample140alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 12%, blue 21%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -53.7
Score range: 26–116
Upset likelihood: 34%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 111 vs event baseline 99.9.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

135.5Season APEX235.8

12.8Auto24.9

16.1Teleop42.4

9.4Endgame22.6

0Consistency1

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	0	22
teleop	0	64
endgame	1	24
foul	0	0
total	1	110

Result

Final score

1 – 110

Prediction correct · off by 27.6 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree