FSC District North Charleston Event presented by SCDE & City of North Charleston Recreation

Qualification · Qualification 29

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

48.1 – 35.92

54%46%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

41 – 18

Prediction correct · off by 12.5 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 262.8 ±9.3

10591No Cap

Season APEX 31Event APEX -6.39Rank 15Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8430The Hatch Batch

Season APEX 51.3Event APEX 28.33Rank 7Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6366RAM Rodz Robotics

Season APEX 180.5Event APEX 26.16Rank 5Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 149.6 ±11.7

4533Phoenix

Season APEX 67.5Event APEX 10.66Rank 25Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10367Category 4 Storm Surge

Season APEX 59.1Event APEX 26.79Rank 11Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3976Electric Hornets

Season APEX 23Event APEX -1.53Rank 18Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 10591, 8430, 6366

/ 100 compat

Projected

48.1 pts

~1.3 RP (district)

Teams: 10591, 8430, 6366

Auto

27.6 82%

Teleop

4.3 13%

Endgame

1.7 5%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 18%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 4533, 10367, 3976

/ 100 compat

Projected

35.9 pts

~1.1 RP (district)

Teams: 4533, 10367, 3976

Auto

3.2 9%

Teleop

12.6 37%

Endgame

18.7 54%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 18%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.29 · Blue 1.08

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score48.1pts

Blue projected score35.9pts

Red win probability54%

Event bonus sample140alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 18%, blue 11%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 12.2
Score range: 21–63
Upset likelihood: 46%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 59 vs event baseline 82.4.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

262.8Season APEX149.6

27.6Auto3.2

4.3Teleop12.6

1.7Endgame18.7

78Consistency79

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	18	8
teleop	22	8
endgame	1	2
foul	0	0
total	41	18

Result

Final score

41 – 18

Prediction correct · off by 12.5 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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