FSC District North Charleston Event presented by SCDE & City of North Charleston Recreation

Qualification · Qualification 28

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

202.98 – 38.02

89%11%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

388 – 75

Prediction correct · off by 111 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 530.1 ±8.1

1648G3 Robotics

Season APEX 139.4Event APEX 29.82Rank 3Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9496LYNK

A+

Season APEX 297.2Event APEX 167.37Rank 1Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10619Rana's Rivets

Season APEX 93.5Event APEX 5.79Rank 23Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 174.8 ±9.8

11398Shark Bytes

Season APEX 42.1Event APEX 30.62Rank 19Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1293Pandamaniacs

Season APEX 26.4Event APEX -12.18Rank 27Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 100

11167Team Titan

Season APEX 106.3Event APEX 19.58Rank 8Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1648, 9496, 10619

/ 100 compat

Projected

203 pts

~2.2 RP (district)

Teams: 1648, 9496, 10619

Auto

60.2 28%

Teleop

106.0 50%

Endgame

45.3 21%

Strengths

· 9496 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 32%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 11398, 1293, 11167

/ 100 compat

Projected

38 pts

~0.4 RP (district)

Teams: 11398, 1293, 11167

Auto

13.9 39%

Teleop

9.3 26%

Endgame

12.8 36%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 32%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.16 · Blue 0.4

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score203pts

Blue projected score38pts

Red win probability89%

Event bonus sample140alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 32%, blue 13%

Supercharged bonusred 5%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 165
Score range: 24–217
Upset likelihood: 11%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 463 vs event baseline 76.9.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

530.1Season APEX174.8

60.2Auto13.9

106Teleop9.3

45.3Endgame12.8

48Consistency110

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	94	24
teleop	223	31
endgame	66	20
foul	5	0
total	388	75

Result

Final score

388 – 75

Prediction correct · off by 111 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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