FSC District North Charleston Event presented by SCDE & City of North Charleston Recreation

Qualification · Qualification 26

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

27.7 – 46.59

44%56%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

24 – 48

Prediction correct · off by 2.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 138.7 ±10.4

6167CB Bearbots

Season APEX 54.7Event APEX 14.7Rank 14Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4083The Legendary Iron Wolverines

Season APEX 36.6Event APEX 25.88Rank 20Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10231Midnight Circuits

Season APEX 47.4Event APEX -12.88Rank 17Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 153 ±11.2

10591No Cap

Season APEX 31Event APEX -5.66Rank 15Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8116Hatchet Robotics

Season APEX 99Event APEX 51.57Rank 6Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3976Electric Hornets

Season APEX 23Event APEX 0.68Rank 18Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6167, 4083, 10231

/ 100 compat

Projected

27.7 pts

~1.1 RP (district)

Teams: 6167, 4083, 10231

Auto

10.6 37%

Teleop

12.0 41%

Endgame

6.4 22%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 16%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 10591, 8116, 3976

/ 100 compat

Projected

46.6 pts

~1.4 RP (district)

Teams: 10591, 8116, 3976

Auto

9.8 19%

Teleop

16.9 33%

Endgame

24.9 48%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 16%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.09 · Blue 1.37

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score27.7pts

Blue projected score46.6pts

Red win probability44%

Event bonus sample140alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 16%, blue 22%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -18.9
Score range: 14–61
Upset likelihood: 44%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 72 vs event baseline 78.1.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

138.7Season APEX153

10.6Auto9.8

12Teleop16.9

6.4Endgame24.9

102Consistency44

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	13	16
teleop	7	22
endgame	4	10
foul	0	0
total	24	48

Result

Final score

24 – 48

Prediction correct · off by 2.6 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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