FSC District North Charleston Event presented by SCDE & City of North Charleston Recreation

Qualification · Qualification 25

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

44.91 – 32.37

54%46%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

73 – 26

Prediction correct · off by 17.2 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 234.7 ±9.8

4533Phoenix

Season APEX 67.5Event APEX 5.7Rank 25Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10388The Iron Wolverine Angels

Season APEX 27.8Event APEX 12.37Rank 21Record 4-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1648G3 Robotics

Season APEX 139.4Event APEX 26.84Rank 3Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 300.4 ±9.3

1293Pandamaniacs

Season APEX 26.4Event APEX -13.82Rank 27Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6366RAM Rodz Robotics

Season APEX 180.5Event APEX 38.69Rank 5Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10619Rana's Rivets

Season APEX 93.5Event APEX 7.5Rank 23Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 4533, 10388, 1648

/ 100 compat

Projected

44.9 pts

~1.2 RP (district)

Teams: 4533, 10388, 1648

Auto

14.2 42%

Teleop

15.2 45%

Endgame

4.6 14%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 12%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 1293, 6366, 10619

/ 100 compat

Projected

32.4 pts

~1.1 RP (district)

Teams: 1293, 6366, 10619

Auto

13.1 44%

Teleop

10.3 35%

Endgame

6.2 21%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 12%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.24 · Blue 1.11

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score44.9pts

Blue projected score32.4pts

Red win probability54%

Event bonus sample140alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 12%, blue 14%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 12.5
Score range: 18–59
Upset likelihood: 46%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

Combined score 99 vs event baseline 79.3.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

234.7Season APEX300.4

14.2Auto13.1

15.2Teleop10.3

4.6Endgame6.2

50Consistency125

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	17	17
teleop	30	9
endgame	11	0
foul	15	0
total	73	26

Result

Final score

73 – 26

Prediction correct · off by 17.2 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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