FSC District North Charleston Event presented by SCDE & City of North Charleston Recreation

Qualification · Qualification 22

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

31.8 – 92.05

32%68%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

33 – 91

Prediction correct · off by 1.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 131.5 ±10.4

11424Boa Constructors

Season APEX 50.4Event APEX 25.7Rank 10Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1293Pandamaniacs

Season APEX 26.4Event APEX -11.87Rank 27Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6167CB Bearbots

Season APEX 54.7Event APEX 17.97Rank 14Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 308.1 ±9.8

6366RAM Rodz Robotics

Season APEX 180.5Event APEX 36.4Rank 5Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4083The Legendary Iron Wolverines

Season APEX 36.6Event APEX 26.26Rank 20Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

342Burning Magnetos

Season APEX 91Event APEX 29.39Rank 4Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 11424, 1293, 6167

/ 100 compat

Projected

31.8 pts

~0.8 RP (district)

Teams: 11424, 1293, 6167

Auto

13.8 41%

Teleop

23.8 71%

Endgame

-4.2 0%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 15%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 6366, 4083, 342

/ 100 compat

Projected

92.1 pts

~1.6 RP (district)

Teams: 6366, 4083, 342

Auto

20.6 20%

Teleop

54.0 52%

Endgame

30.1 29%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 15%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.83 · Blue 1.61

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score31.8pts

Blue projected score92.1pts

Red win probability32%

Event bonus sample140alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 15%, blue 21%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -60.2
Score range: 18–106
Upset likelihood: 32%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 124 vs event baseline 77.2.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

131.5Season APEX308.1

13.8Auto20.6

23.8Teleop54

-4.2Endgame30.1

98Consistency91

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	16	24
teleop	9	42
endgame	8	25
foul	0	0
total	33	91

Result

Final score

33 – 91

Prediction correct · off by 1.1 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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