FSC District North Charleston Event presented by SCDE & City of North Charleston Recreation

Qualification · Qualification 20

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

64.94 – 10.44

66%34%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

46 – 34

Prediction correct · off by 21.3 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 187.2 ±9.8

10388The Iron Wolverine Angels

Season APEX 27.8Event APEX 16.04Rank 21Record 4-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

11167Team Titan

Season APEX 106.3Event APEX 20.64Rank 8Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3490Viper Drive

Season APEX 53.1Event APEX 28.26Rank 16Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 110.3 ±11

11398Shark Bytes

Season APEX 42.1Event APEX 14.68Rank 19Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10361Gatorbots

Season APEX 35Event APEX 18.97Rank 22Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3489Category 5

Season APEX 33.2Event APEX -23.21Rank 24Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 10388, 11167, 3490

/ 100 compat

Projected

64.9 pts

~1.5 RP (district)

Teams: 10388, 11167, 3490

Auto

23.5 45%

Teleop

14.8 28%

Endgame

13.8 26%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 15%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 11398, 10361, 3489

/ 100 compat

Projected

10.4 pts

~0.8 RP (district)

Teams: 11398, 10361, 3489

Auto

16.4 100%

Teleop

-3.2 0%

Endgame

-4.9 0%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 15%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.52 · Blue 0.79

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score64.9pts

Blue projected score10.4pts

Red win probability66%

Event bonus sample140alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 15%, blue 8%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 54.5
Score range: -4–79
Upset likelihood: 34%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-16
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 80 vs event baseline 79.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

187.2Season APEX110.3

23.5Auto16.4

14.8Teleop-3.2

13.8Endgame-4.9

64Consistency109

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	19	8
teleop	15	22
endgame	12	4
foul	0	0
total	46	34

Result

Final score

46 – 34

Prediction correct · off by 21.3 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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