FSC District North Charleston Event presented by SCDE & City of North Charleston Recreation

Qualification · Qualification 2

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

156.44 – 47.39

80%20%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

117 – 45

Prediction correct · off by 20.9 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 418.9 ±8.7

6366RAM Rodz Robotics

Season APEX 180.5Event APEX 48.15Rank 5Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8116Hatchet Robotics

Season APEX 99Event APEX 44.96Rank 6Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1648G3 Robotics

Season APEX 139.4Event APEX 63.33Rank 3Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 128.5 ±10.4

4864INNovation Station

Season APEX 46Event APEX 23.4Rank 13Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6167CB Bearbots

Season APEX 54.7Event APEX 23.22Rank 14Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10388The Iron Wolverine Angels

Season APEX 27.8Event APEX 0.77Rank 21Record 4-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6366, 8116, 1648

/ 100 compat

Projected

156.4 pts

~1.9 RP (district)

Teams: 6366, 8116, 1648

Auto

39.3 24%

Teleop

88.4 54%

Endgame

36.7 22%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 24%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 4864, 6167, 10388

/ 100 compat

Projected

47.4 pts

~0.6 RP (district)

Teams: 4864, 6167, 10388

Auto

13.6 34%

Teleop

14.1 35%

Endgame

12.3 31%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 24%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.88 · Blue 0.62

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score156.4pts

Blue projected score47.4pts

Red win probability80%

Event bonus sample140alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 24%, blue 17%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 109.1
Score range: 29–174
Upset likelihood: 20%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 162 vs event baseline 99.9.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

418.9Season APEX128.5

39.3Auto13.6

88.4Teleop14.1

36.7Endgame12.3

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	29	10
teleop	62	19
endgame	26	11
foul	0	5
total	117	45

Result

Final score

117 – 45

Prediction correct · off by 20.9 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree