FSC District North Charleston Event presented by SCDE & City of North Charleston Recreation

Qualification · Qualification 19

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

23.92 – 204.89

10%90%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

43 – 307

Prediction correct · off by 60.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 183.6 ±9.8

10591No Cap

Season APEX 31Event APEX -2.53Rank 15Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10367Category 4 Storm Surge

Season APEX 59.1Event APEX 24.93Rank 11Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10619Rana's Rivets

Season APEX 93.5Event APEX 1.52Rank 23Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 445.3 ±8.8

8116Hatchet Robotics

Season APEX 99Event APEX 38.9Rank 6Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7085Wired Warriors

Season APEX 49.1Event APEX 30.96Rank 12Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9496LYNK

A+

Season APEX 297.2Event APEX 135.03Rank 1Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 10591, 10367, 10619

/ 100 compat

Projected

23.9 pts

~0.4 RP (district)

Teams: 10591, 10367, 10619

Auto

13.4 49%

Teleop

9.1 33%

Endgame

4.7 17%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 17%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 8116, 7085, 9496

/ 100 compat

Projected

204.9 pts

~2.1 RP (district)

Teams: 8116, 7085, 9496

Auto

49.6 25%

Teleop

93.6 48%

Endgame

53.0 27%

Strengths

· 9496 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 17%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.41 · Blue 2.15

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score23.9pts

Blue projected score204.9pts

Red win probability10%

Event bonus sample140alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 17%, blue 29%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -181
Score range: 11–218
Upset likelihood: 10%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-16
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 350 vs event baseline 73.7.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

183.6Season APEX445.3

13.4Auto49.6

9.1Teleop93.6

4.7Endgame53

81Consistency55

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	16	80
teleop	13	166
endgame	14	61
foul	0	0
total	43	307

Result

Final score

43 – 307

Prediction correct · off by 60.6 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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