FSC District North Charleston Event presented by SCDE & City of North Charleston Recreation

Qualification · Qualification 18

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

137.19 – 42.13

77%23%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

93 – 29

Prediction correct · off by 28.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 451.6 ±9.3

6366RAM Rodz Robotics

Season APEX 180.5Event APEX 48.16Rank 5Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4451ROBOTZ Garage

Season APEX 220.7Event APEX 62.45Rank 2Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

11424Boa Constructors

Season APEX 50.4Event APEX 26.58Rank 10Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 242.6 ±9.8

10231Midnight Circuits

Season APEX 47.4Event APEX -17.08Rank 17Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

11254FIRST Ignition

Season APEX 55.8Event APEX 26.55Rank 9Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1648G3 Robotics

Season APEX 139.4Event APEX 32.66Rank 3Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6366, 4451, 11424

/ 100 compat

Projected

137.2 pts

~1.8 RP (district)

Teams: 6366, 4451, 11424

Auto

13.3 9%

Teleop

82.0 58%

Endgame

46.5 33%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 22%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 10231, 11254, 1648

/ 100 compat

Projected

42.1 pts

~0.7 RP (district)

Teams: 10231, 11254, 1648

Auto

20.9 59%

Teleop

12.3 35%

Endgame

2.2 6%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 22%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.79 · Blue 0.73

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score137.2pts

Blue projected score42.1pts

Red win probability77%

Event bonus sample140alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 22%, blue 21%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 95.1
Score range: 29–150
Upset likelihood: 23%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-16
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 122 vs event baseline 74.4.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

451.6Season APEX242.6

13.3Auto20.9

82Teleop12.3

46.5Endgame2.2

49Consistency102

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	24	22
teleop	48	7
endgame	6	0
foul	15	0
total	93	29

Result

Final score

93 – 29

Prediction correct · off by 28.7 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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