Qualification · Qualification 17
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
0 – 67.36
23%77%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
63 – 60
Prediction missed · off by 35.2 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 147 ±10.4
Season APEX 53.1Event APEX 14.54Rank 16Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 26.4Event APEX -25.53Rank 27Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 67.5Event APEX -18.08Rank 25Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 170.7 ±9.8
Season APEX 36.6Event APEX 30.65Rank 20Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 27.8Event APEX 29.69Rank 21Record 4-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 106.3Event APEX 7.02Rank 8Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 3490, 1293, 4533
0
/ 100 compatProjected
-29.1 pts
~0.6 RP (district)
Teams: 3490, 1293, 4533
Auto
10.6 0%
Teleop
-40.1 100%
Endgame
4.3 0%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Thin endgame coverage
- · Thin autonomous coverage
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 8%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 4083, 10388, 11167
48
/ 100 compatProjected
67.4 pts
~1.7 RP (district)
Teams: 4083, 10388, 11167
Auto
31.0 50%
Teleop
22.8 37%
Endgame
8.1 13%
Strengths
- · Strong autonomous coverage
Weaknesses
- · Thin endgame coverage
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 8%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.58 · Blue 1.72
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score-29.1pts
Blue projected score67.4pts
Red win probability23%
Event bonus sample140alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 8%, blue 15%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -67.4
- Score range
- -14–81
- Upset likelihood
- 23%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-16
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
147Season APEX170.7
10.6Auto31
-40.1Teleop22.8
4.3Endgame8.1
93Consistency71
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 7 | 15 |
| teleop | 41 | 23 |
| endgame | 15 | 7 |
| foul | 0 | 15 |
| total | 63 | 60 |
Result
Final score
63 – 60
Prediction missed · off by 35.2 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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