FSC District North Charleston Event presented by SCDE & City of North Charleston Recreation

Qualification · Qualification 16

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

40.5 – 8.73

60%40%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

94 – 40

Prediction correct · off by 42.4 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 172 ±11

10361Gatorbots

Season APEX 35Event APEX 10.4Rank 22Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

342Burning Magnetos

Season APEX 91Event APEX 30.65Rank 4Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4864INNovation Station

Season APEX 46Event APEX -0.55Rank 13Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 105.3 ±11.7

7085Wired Warriors

Season APEX 49.1Event APEX 33.26Rank 12Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3489Category 5

Season APEX 33.2Event APEX -15.48Rank 24Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3976Electric Hornets

Season APEX 23Event APEX -9.05Rank 18Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 10361, 342, 4864

/ 100 compat

Projected

40.5 pts

~1.4 RP (district)

Teams: 10361, 342, 4864

Auto

-3.8 0%

Teleop

21.5 49%

Endgame

26.0 59%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 18%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 7085, 3489, 3976

/ 100 compat

Projected

8.7 pts

~1.0 RP (district)

Teams: 7085, 3489, 3976

Auto

3.2 0%

Teleop

-15.2 100%

Endgame

10.7 0%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 18%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.41 · Blue 0.97

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score40.5pts

Blue projected score8.7pts

Red win probability60%

Event bonus sample140alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 18%, blue 12%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 31.8
Score range: -5–55
Upset likelihood: 40%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-16
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 134 vs event baseline 75.8.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

172Season APEX105.3

-3.8Auto3.2

21.5Teleop-15.2

26Endgame10.7

98Consistency94

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	17	15
teleop	58	5
endgame	19	5
foul	0	15
total	94	40

Result

Final score

94 – 40

Prediction correct · off by 42.4 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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