FSC District North Charleston Event presented by SCDE & City of North Charleston Recreation

Qualification · Qualification 13

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

11.43 – 74.68

31%69%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

98 – 66

Prediction missed · off by 47.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 321.8 ±9.9

10361Gatorbots

Season APEX 35Event APEX -20.09Rank 22Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

11167Team Titan

Season APEX 106.3Event APEX -3.37Rank 8Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6366RAM Rodz Robotics

Season APEX 180.5Event APEX 34.89Rank 5Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 207.6 ±10.4

7085Wired Warriors

Season APEX 49.1Event APEX 31.34Rank 12Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4533Phoenix

Season APEX 67.5Event APEX 0.62Rank 25Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

342Burning Magnetos

Season APEX 91Event APEX 42.72Rank 4Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 10361, 11167, 6366

/ 100 compat

Projected

11.4 pts

~0.8 RP (district)

Teams: 10361, 11167, 6366

Auto

5.0 53%

Teleop

0.3 3%

Endgame

4.1 44%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 14%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 7085, 4533, 342

/ 100 compat

Projected

74.7 pts

~1.6 RP (district)

Teams: 7085, 4533, 342

Auto

11.7 18%

Teleop

34.3 52%

Endgame

19.5 30%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 14%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.81 · Blue 1.56

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score11.4pts

Blue projected score74.7pts

Red win probability31%

Event bonus sample140alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 14%, blue 14%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -63.3
Score range: -1–87
Upset likelihood: 31%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-16
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 164 vs event baseline 68.8.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

321.8Season APEX207.6

5Auto11.7

0.3Teleop34.3

4.1Endgame19.5

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	23	11
teleop	51	28
endgame	24	27
foul	0	0
total	98	66

Result

Final score

98 – 66

Prediction missed · off by 47.6 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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