FSC District North Charleston Event presented by SCDE & City of North Charleston Recreation

Qualification · Qualification 12

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

160.88 – 89.98

71%29%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

71 – 129

Prediction missed · off by 64.4 points

Limited current-season data (11 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.

red allianceTotal Season APEX 356.8 ±9.4

1293Pandamaniacs

Season APEX 26.4Event APEX 14.36Rank 27Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9496LYNK

A+

Season APEX 297.2Event APEX 132.56Rank 1Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3489Category 5

Season APEX 33.2Event APEX 13.96Rank 24Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 356.3 ±9.3

4083The Legendary Iron Wolverines

Season APEX 36.6Event APEX 9.07Rank 20Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4451ROBOTZ Garage

Season APEX 220.7Event APEX 63.49Rank 2Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8116Hatchet Robotics

Season APEX 99Event APEX 17.42Rank 6Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1293, 9496, 3489

/ 100 compat

Projected

160.9 pts

~1.6 RP (district)

Teams: 1293, 9496, 3489

Auto

39.2 25%

Teleop

72.0 46%

Endgame

46.8 30%

Strengths

· 9496 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 12%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 4083, 4451, 8116

/ 100 compat

Projected

90 pts

~0.8 RP (district)

Teams: 4083, 4451, 8116

Auto

11.8 12%

Teleop

47.2 50%

Endgame

35.8 38%

Strengths

· 4451 anchors offense
· Reliable endgame stack
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage

RP bonus probability

Energized: 12%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.58 · Blue 0.84

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score160.9pts

Blue projected score90pts

Red win probability71%

Event bonus sample140alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 12%, blue 21%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 70.9
Score range: 78–173
Upset likelihood: 29%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-16
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

High scoring

Combined score 200 vs event baseline 66.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

356.8Season APEX356.3

39.2Auto11.8

72Teleop47.2

46.8Endgame35.8

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	49	13
teleop	13	80
endgame	9	36
foul	0	0
total	71	129

Result

Final score

71 – 129

Prediction missed · off by 64.4 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.