FSC District North Charleston Event presented by SCDE & City of North Charleston Recreation

Qualification · Qualification 11

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

96.46 – 10.66

74%26%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

64 – 18

Prediction correct · off by 19.9 points

Limited current-season data (10 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.

red allianceTotal Season APEX 236.7 ±9.3

1648G3 Robotics

Season APEX 139.4Event APEX 50.4Rank 3Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4864INNovation Station

Season APEX 46Event APEX 12.37Rank 13Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8430The Hatch Batch

Season APEX 51.3Event APEX 33.69Rank 7Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 143.6 ±10.4

6167CB Bearbots

Season APEX 54.7Event APEX 2.83Rank 14Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10591No Cap

Season APEX 31Event APEX -3.69Rank 15Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8137Byting Bulldogs

Season APEX 57.9Event APEX 11.52Rank 26Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1648, 4864, 8430

/ 100 compat

Projected

96.5 pts

~1.8 RP (district)

Teams: 1648, 4864, 8430

Auto

17.3 18%

Teleop

53.3 56%

Endgame

24.0 25%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 23%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 6167, 10591, 8137

/ 100 compat

Projected

10.7 pts

~0.7 RP (district)

Teams: 6167, 10591, 8137

Auto

-4.0 0%

Teleop

8.3 100%

Endgame

3.4 44%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 23%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.76 · Blue 0.73

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score96.5pts

Blue projected score10.7pts

Red win probability74%

Event bonus sample140alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 23%, blue 18%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 85.8
Score range: -1–108
Upset likelihood: 26%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 82 vs event baseline 68.5.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

236.7Season APEX143.6

17.3Auto-4

53.3Teleop8.3

24Endgame3.4

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	40	9
teleop	20	4
endgame	4	0
foul	0	5
total	64	18

Result

Final score

64 – 18

Prediction correct · off by 19.9 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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