FSC District North Charleston Event presented by SCDE & City of North Charleston Recreation

Final · Finals 3

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

266.06 – 141.98

82%18%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

161 – 123

Prediction correct · off by 62 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 463 ±8.8

1648G3 Robotics

Season APEX 139.4Event APEX 66.77Rank 3Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1293Pandamaniacs

Season APEX 26.4Event APEX -2.14Rank 27Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9496LYNK

A+

Season APEX 297.2Event APEX 201.43Rank 1Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 346.7 ±10.5

4451ROBOTZ Garage

Season APEX 220.7Event APEX 65.6Rank 2Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10361Gatorbots

Season APEX 35Event APEX 12.26Rank 22Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

342Burning Magnetos

Season APEX 91Event APEX 64.12Rank 4Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1648, 1293, 9496

/ 100 compat

Projected

266.1 pts

~1.9 RP (district)

Teams: 1648, 1293, 9496

Auto

72.8 24%

Teleop

159.8 53%

Endgame

71.4 23%

Strengths

· 9496 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 25%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 4451, 10361, 342

/ 100 compat

Projected

142 pts

~0.6 RP (district)

Teams: 4451, 10361, 342

Auto

20.7 16%

Teleop

65.6 50%

Endgame

44.5 34%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 25%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.95 · Blue 0.59

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score266.1pts

Blue projected score142pts

Red win probability82%

Event bonus sample140alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 25%, blue 20%

Supercharged bonusred 4%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 124.1
Score range: 124–284
Upset likelihood: 18%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 284 vs event baseline 99.3.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

463Season APEX346.7

72.8Auto20.7

159.8Teleop65.6

71.4Endgame44.5

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	73	44
teleop	51	41
endgame	22	33
foul	15	5
total	161	123

Result

Final score

161 – 123

Prediction correct · off by 62 pts

Match videos

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