FSC District North Charleston Event presented by SCDE & City of North Charleston Recreation

Final · Finals 2

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

264.72 – 139.84

83%17%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

277 – 161

Prediction correct · off by 16.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 463 ±8.8

1648G3 Robotics

Season APEX 139.4Event APEX 66.34Rank 3Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1293Pandamaniacs

Season APEX 26.4Event APEX -2.7Rank 27Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9496LYNK

A+

Season APEX 297.2Event APEX 201.08Rank 1Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 346.7 ±10.5

4451ROBOTZ Garage

Season APEX 220.7Event APEX 64.89Rank 2Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10361Gatorbots

Season APEX 35Event APEX 11.49Rank 22Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

342Burning Magnetos

Season APEX 91Event APEX 63.46Rank 4Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1648, 1293, 9496

/ 100 compat

Projected

264.7 pts

~1.9 RP (district)

Teams: 1648, 1293, 9496

Auto

70.8 23%

Teleop

162.9 53%

Endgame

73.6 24%

Strengths

· 9496 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 25%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 4451, 10361, 342

/ 100 compat

Projected

139.8 pts

~0.6 RP (district)

Teams: 4451, 10361, 342

Auto

19.4 15%

Teleop

65.8 50%

Endgame

45.6 35%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 25%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.95 · Blue 0.59

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score264.7pts

Blue projected score139.8pts

Red win probability83%

Event bonus sample140alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 25%, blue 20%

Supercharged bonusred 4%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 124.9
Score range: 122–283
Upset likelihood: 17%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 438 vs event baseline 97.5.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

463Season APEX346.7

70.8Auto19.4

162.9Teleop65.8

73.6Endgame45.6

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	89	32
teleop	135	64
endgame	53	35
foul	0	30
total	277	161

Result

Final score

277 – 161

Prediction correct · off by 16.7 pts

Match videos

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