Playoff · Playoff Match 6 R2

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

119.64 – 132.84

46%54%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

142 – 126

Prediction missed · off by 14.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 244.1 ±12.2

663Power Sharks

Season APEX 75.7Event APEX 32.7Rank 13Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

61BVT Robotics

Season APEX 86.1Event APEX 35.31Rank 26Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10066CephaloSquad

Season APEX 82.3Event APEX 51.63Rank 11Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 354.9 ±10.4

1735Green Reapers

Season APEX 95.1Event APEX 58.23Rank 9Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5112The Gongoliers

Season APEX 153Event APEX 46.84Rank 18Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8544Reinforcement

Season APEX 106.8Event APEX 27.77Rank 16Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 663, 61, 10066

/ 100 compat

Projected

119.6 pts

~1.4 RP (district)

Teams: 663, 61, 10066

Auto

37.5 33%

Teleop

37.9 33%

Endgame

38.3 34%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 44%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 1735, 5112, 8544

/ 100 compat

Projected

132.8 pts

~1.7 RP (district)

Teams: 1735, 5112, 8544

Auto

31.1 25%

Teleop

62.5 49%

Endgame

33.0 26%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 44%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.4 · Blue 1.69

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score119.6pts

Blue projected score132.8pts

Red win probability46%

Event bonus sample158alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 44%, blue 56%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -13.2
Score range: 87–166
Upset likelihood: 46%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

Playoff

Combined score 268 vs event baseline 185.8.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

244.1Season APEX354.9

37.5Auto31.1

37.9Teleop62.5

38.3Endgame33

3Consistency5

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	48	22
teleop	51	63
endgame	28	41
foul	15	0
total	142	126

Result

Final score

142 – 126

Prediction missed · off by 14.6 pts

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.