Playoff · Playoff Match 3 R1

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

313.72 – 124

91%9%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

226 – 105

Prediction correct · off by 53.4 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 664.8 ±9.9

6620Voltage Vikings

Season APEX 74.3Event APEX 39.81Rank 24Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6324The Blue Devils

Season APEX 268.7Event APEX 125.12Rank 6Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5000HAMMERHEADS

A+

Season APEX 321.8Event APEX 148.79Rank 3Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 244.1 ±12.2

663Power Sharks

Season APEX 75.7Event APEX 33.99Rank 13Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

61BVT Robotics

Season APEX 86.1Event APEX 36.54Rank 26Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10066CephaloSquad

Season APEX 82.3Event APEX 53.47Rank 11Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6620, 6324, 5000

/ 100 compat

Projected

313.7 pts

~2.5 RP (district)

Teams: 6620, 6324, 5000

Auto

42.9 14%

Teleop

182.5 58%

Endgame

87.8 28%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 55%

Supercharged: 6%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 663, 61, 10066

/ 100 compat

Projected

124 pts

~0.7 RP (district)

Teams: 663, 61, 10066

Auto

41.5 35%

Teleop

39.3 33%

Endgame

36.9 31%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 55%

Supercharged: 6%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.45 · Blue 0.65

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score313.7pts

Blue projected score124pts

Red win probability91%

Event bonus sample158alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 55%, blue 44%

Supercharged bonusred 6%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 189.7
Score range: 91–347
Upset likelihood: 9%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Playoff

Standard match.

Combined score 331 vs event baseline 185.4.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

664.8Season APEX244.1

42.9Auto41.5

182.5Teleop39.3

87.8Endgame36.9

14Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	61	25
teleop	130	35
endgame	35	40
foul	0	5
total	226	105

Result

Final score

226 – 105

Prediction correct · off by 53.4 pts

Match videos

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