Qualification · Qualification 9
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
98.35 – 81.14
55%45%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
98 – 99
Prediction missed · off by 9.1 points
Limited current-season data (8 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.
red allianceTotal Season APEX 249.3 ±13.9
Season APEX 74.8Event APEX 1.3Rank 29Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 96.8Event APEX 71.72Rank 25Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 77.7Event APEX 25.33Rank 17Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 337.3 ±12.2
Season APEX 82.3Event APEX 26.06Rank 11Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 74.3Event APEX 2.61Rank 24Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 180.7Event APEX 52.47Rank 8Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 3464, 2262, 6367
53
/ 100 compatProjected
98.4 pts
~1.6 RP (district)
Teams: 3464, 2262, 6367
Auto
14.1 14%
Teleop
51.5 52%
Endgame
33.6 34%
Strengths
- · Reliable endgame stack
Weaknesses
- · Thin autonomous coverage
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 48%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 10066, 6620, 2079
48
/ 100 compatProjected
81.1 pts
~1.4 RP (district)
Teams: 10066, 6620, 2079
Auto
20.1 25%
Teleop
49.4 62%
Endgame
10.3 13%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Thin endgame coverage
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 48%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.63 · Blue 1.42
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score98.4pts
Blue projected score81.1pts
Red win probability55%
Event bonus sample158alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 48%, blue 46%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 4%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 17.2
- Score range
- 54–125
- Upset likelihood
- 45%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
249.3Season APEX337.3
14.1Auto20.1
51.5Teleop49.4
33.6Endgame10.3
0Consistency0
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 22 | 23 |
| teleop | 49 | 71 |
| endgame | 12 | 0 |
| foul | 15 | 5 |
| total | 98 | 99 |
Result
Final score
98 – 99
Prediction missed · off by 9.1 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
Watch right here, no need to leave the page.