Qualification · Qualification 64

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

279.32 – 111.91

89%11%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

362 – 170

Prediction correct · off by 70.4 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 443.1 ±11.4

4176Iron Tigers

Season APEX 50.9Event APEX 19.9Rank 20Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1768Nashoba Robotics

A+

Season APEX 316.5Event APEX 229.69Rank 1Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

663Power Sharks

Season APEX 75.7Event APEX 29.73Rank 13Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 383.3 ±11.2

5494Bizarbots Robotics

Season APEX 79.2Event APEX 25.7Rank 21Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

348Norwell Robotics

Season APEX 147.4Event APEX 27.55Rank 15Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1153Timberwolves

Season APEX 156.7Event APEX 58.66Rank 7Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 4176, 1768, 663

/ 100 compat

Projected

279.3 pts

~2.4 RP (district)

Teams: 4176, 1768, 663

Auto

53.7 20%

Teleop

140.4 53%

Endgame

69.6 26%

Strengths

· 1768 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 59%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 5494, 348, 1153

/ 100 compat

Projected

111.9 pts

~0.8 RP (district)

Teams: 5494, 348, 1153

Auto

39.1 37%

Teleop

45.7 43%

Endgame

21.6 20%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 59%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.43 · Blue 0.82

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score279.3pts

Blue projected score111.9pts

Red win probability89%

Event bonus sample158alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 59%, blue 55%

Supercharged bonusred 4%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 167.4
Score range: 80–311
Upset likelihood: 11%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 532 vs event baseline 180.3.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

443.1Season APEX383.3

53.7Auto39.1

140.4Teleop45.7

69.6Endgame21.6

21Consistency18

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	57	48
teleop	211	59
endgame	64	58
foul	30	5
total	362	170

Result

Final score

362 – 170

Prediction correct · off by 70.4 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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