Qualification · Qualification 62

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

170.97 – 238.99

30%70%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

150 – 306

Prediction correct · off by 44 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 357.7 ±11

1350The Rambots

Season APEX 82.9Event APEX 15.25Rank 30Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6333Scavenger Robotics

Season APEX 92.9Event APEX 34.87Rank 23Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

78AIR STRIKE

Season APEX 181.9Event APEX 120.85Rank 4Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 643.7 ±9.8

6324The Blue Devils

Season APEX 268.7Event APEX 122.69Rank 6Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

20794H ALARM Robotics

Season APEX 180.7Event APEX 45.82Rank 8Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1699Robocats

Season APEX 194.3Event APEX 70.48Rank 12Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1350, 6333, 78

/ 100 compat

Projected

171 pts

~1.2 RP (district)

Teams: 1350, 6333, 78

Auto

21.1 12%

Teleop

100.5 58%

Endgame

51.2 30%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 57%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 6324, 2079, 1699

/ 100 compat

Projected

239 pts

~2.0 RP (district)

Teams: 6324, 2079, 1699

Auto

45.0 19%

Teleop

123.7 53%

Endgame

62.9 27%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 57%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.22 · Blue 2.05

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score171pts

Blue projected score239pts

Red win probability30%

Event bonus sample158alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 57%, blue 59%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 4%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -68
Score range: 139–271
Upset likelihood: 30%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 456 vs event baseline 178.8.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

357.7Season APEX643.7

21.1Auto45

100.5Teleop123.7

51.2Endgame62.9

27Consistency45

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	50	47
teleop	96	197
endgame	4	57
foul	0	5
total	150	306

Result

Final score

150 – 306

Prediction correct · off by 44 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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