Qualification · Qualification 60

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

90.93 – 77.12

54%46%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

94 – 97

Prediction missed · off by 11.5 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 201.9 ±12.7

1757Wolverines

Season APEX 85.3Event APEX 26.19Rank 19Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6620Voltage Vikings

Season APEX 74.3Event APEX 42.68Rank 24Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3719STEM Whalers

Season APEX 42.3Event APEX 22.06Rank 28Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 359.5 ±11.7

10973Sea Raiders

Season APEX 155.2Event APEX 27.99Rank 22Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10063S.C.R.A.P.

Season APEX 107.5Event APEX 20.43Rank 31Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2262Robo-Panthers

Season APEX 96.8Event APEX 28.7Rank 25Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1757, 6620, 3719

/ 100 compat

Projected

90.9 pts

~1.6 RP (district)

Teams: 1757, 6620, 3719

Auto

13.9 15%

Teleop

60.1 63%

Endgame

20.9 22%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 42%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 10973, 10063, 2262

/ 100 compat

Projected

77.1 pts

~1.4 RP (district)

Teams: 10973, 10063, 2262

Auto

14.1 20%

Teleop

31.3 45%

Endgame

24.2 35%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 42%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.55 · Blue 1.39

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score90.9pts

Blue projected score77.1pts

Red win probability54%

Event bonus sample158alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 42%, blue 43%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 13.8
Score range: 45–123
Upset likelihood: 46%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Close match

Combined score 191 vs event baseline 178.7.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

201.9Season APEX359.5

13.9Auto14.1

60.1Teleop31.3

20.9Endgame24.2

37Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	18	12
teleop	54	44
endgame	17	41
foul	5	0
total	94	97

Result

Final score

94 – 97

Prediction missed · off by 11.5 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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