Qualification · Qualification 6

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

185.81 – 103.57

74%26%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

145 – 82

Prediction correct · off by 31.2 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 369.5 ±12.2

1699Robocats

Season APEX 194.3Event APEX 101.91Rank 12Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6333Scavenger Robotics

Season APEX 92.9Event APEX 32.71Rank 23Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

10066CephaloSquad

Season APEX 82.3Event APEX 51.19Rank 11Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 303 ±11.6

663Power Sharks

Season APEX 75.7Event APEX 31.29Rank 13Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6620Voltage Vikings

Season APEX 74.3Event APEX 28.64Rank 24Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5112The Gongoliers

Season APEX 153Event APEX 43.64Rank 18Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1699, 6333, 10066

/ 100 compat

Projected

185.8 pts

~2.0 RP (district)

Teams: 1699, 6333, 10066

Auto

38.0 21%

Teleop

95.2 52%

Endgame

49.1 27%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 50%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 663, 6620, 5112

/ 100 compat

Projected

103.6 pts

~1.1 RP (district)

Teams: 663, 6620, 5112

Auto

23.2 24%

Teleop

54.7 56%

Endgame

19.1 20%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 50%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.02 · Blue 1.05

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score185.8pts

Blue projected score103.6pts

Red win probability74%

Event bonus sample158alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 50%, blue 47%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 82.2
Score range: 68–222
Upset likelihood: 26%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 227 vs event baseline 201.8.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

369.5Season APEX303

38Auto23.2

95.2Teleop54.7

49.1Endgame19.1

36Consistency19

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	7	20
teleop	75	53
endgame	58	9
foul	5	0
total	145	82

Result

Final score

145 – 82

Prediction correct · off by 31.2 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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