Qualification · Qualification 59

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

87.32 – 170.4

26%74%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

99 – 283

Prediction correct · off by 62.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 244.7 ±11

1350The Rambots

Season APEX 82.9Event APEX 15.75Rank 30Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100

663Power Sharks

Season APEX 75.7Event APEX 31.61Rank 13Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

61BVT Robotics

Season APEX 86.1Event APEX 39.96Rank 26Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 506.3 ±11.2

6367The ElectroLights

Season APEX 77.7Event APEX 16.33Rank 17Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

8544Reinforcement

Season APEX 106.8Event APEX 18.18Rank 16Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5000HAMMERHEADS

A+

Season APEX 321.8Event APEX 135.89Rank 3Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1350, 663, 61

/ 100 compat

Projected

87.3 pts

~1.0 RP (district)

Teams: 1350, 663, 61

Auto

22.5 27%

Teleop

23.4 28%

Endgame

36.7 44%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 47%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 6367, 8544, 5000

/ 100 compat

Projected

170.4 pts

~2.1 RP (district)

Teams: 6367, 8544, 5000

Auto

40.8 25%

Teleop

88.5 54%

Endgame

33.3 20%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 47%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.03 · Blue 2.1

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score87.3pts

Blue projected score170.4pts

Red win probability26%

Event bonus sample158alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 47%, blue 57%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 4%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -83.1
Score range: 55–202
Upset likelihood: 26%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 382 vs event baseline 178.5.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

244.7Season APEX506.3

22.5Auto40.8

23.4Teleop88.5

36.7Endgame33.3

15Consistency9

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	31	38
teleop	39	169
endgame	29	76
foul	0	0
total	99	283

Result

Final score

99 – 283

Prediction correct · off by 62.1 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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