Qualification · Qualification 55

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

352.25 – 117.4

95%5%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

484 – 131

Prediction correct · off by 72.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 497.7 ±10.5

1119Pup Cups

Season APEX 109.8Event APEX 75.71Rank 10Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5687The Outliers

A+

Season APEX 313.6Event APEX 244.29Rank 2Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6620Voltage Vikings

Season APEX 74.3Event APEX 32.25Rank 24Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 352.7 ±11.7

4176Iron Tigers

Season APEX 50.9Event APEX 22.3Rank 20Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1699Robocats

Season APEX 194.3Event APEX 71.03Rank 12Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10063S.C.R.A.P.

Season APEX 107.5Event APEX 24.07Rank 31Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1119, 5687, 6620

/ 100 compat

Projected

352.3 pts

~2.5 RP (district)

Teams: 1119, 5687, 6620

Auto

89.5 25%

Teleop

196.5 55%

Endgame

70.5 20%

Strengths

· 5687 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 53%

Supercharged: 9%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 4176, 1699, 10063

/ 100 compat

Projected

117.4 pts

~0.6 RP (district)

Teams: 4176, 1699, 10063

Auto

31.6 27%

Teleop

44.5 38%

Endgame

41.2 35%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 53%

Supercharged: 9%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.54 · Blue 0.63

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score352.3pts

Blue projected score117.4pts

Red win probability95%

Event bonus sample158alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 53%, blue 48%

Supercharged bonusred 9%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 234.9
Score range: 85–384
Upset likelihood: 5%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 615 vs event baseline 175.5.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

497.7Season APEX352.7

89.5Auto31.6

196.5Teleop44.5

70.5Endgame41.2

0Consistency49

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	106	14
teleop	293	54
endgame	85	53
foul	0	10
total	484	131

Result

Final score

484 – 131

Prediction correct · off by 72.7 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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