Qualification · Qualification 54

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

201.02 – 180.21

56%44%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

186 – 218

Prediction missed · off by 26.4 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 417.3 ±10.4

5112The Gongoliers

Season APEX 153Event APEX 46.36Rank 18Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3623The Robomingos

Season APEX 82.4Event APEX 27.03Rank 14Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

78AIR STRIKE

Season APEX 181.9Event APEX 127.63Rank 4Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 440.1 ±10.5

6324The Blue Devils

Season APEX 268.7Event APEX 118.8Rank 6Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

61BVT Robotics

Season APEX 86.1Event APEX 40.03Rank 26Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1757Wolverines

Season APEX 85.3Event APEX 21.38Rank 19Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 5112, 3623, 78

/ 100 compat

Projected

201 pts

~1.8 RP (district)

Teams: 5112, 3623, 78

Auto

34.3 18%

Teleop

119.6 62%

Endgame

39.6 20%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 57%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 6324, 61, 1757

/ 100 compat

Projected

180.2 pts

~1.4 RP (district)

Teams: 6324, 61, 1757

Auto

41.3 23%

Teleop

73.0 41%

Endgame

64.2 36%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 57%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.76 · Blue 1.4

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score201pts

Blue projected score180.2pts

Red win probability56%

Event bonus sample158alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 57%, blue 48%

Supercharged bonusred 4%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 20.8
Score range: 149–232
Upset likelihood: 44%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 404 vs event baseline 175.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

417.3Season APEX440.1

34.3Auto41.3

119.6Teleop73

39.6Endgame64.2

6Consistency22

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	9	56
teleop	98	120
endgame	74	42
foul	5	0
total	186	218

Result

Final score

186 – 218

Prediction missed · off by 26.4 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.