Qualification · Qualification 5

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

210.55 – 229

44%56%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

129 – 231

Prediction correct · off by 41.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 532.9 ±9.8

1153Timberwolves

Season APEX 156.7Event APEX 71.24Rank 7Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10063S.C.R.A.P.

Season APEX 107.5Event APEX 28.02Rank 31Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6324The Blue Devils

Season APEX 268.7Event APEX 111.29Rank 6Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 555.3 ±9.3

61BVT Robotics

Season APEX 86.1Event APEX 34.81Rank 26Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5000HAMMERHEADS

A+

Season APEX 321.8Event APEX 138.01Rank 3Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

348Norwell Robotics

Season APEX 147.4Event APEX 56.18Rank 15Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1153, 10063, 6324

/ 100 compat

Projected

210.6 pts

~1.5 RP (district)

Teams: 1153, 10063, 6324

Auto

44.0 21%

Teleop

115.1 55%

Endgame

50.4 24%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 53%

Supercharged: 6%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 61, 5000, 348

/ 100 compat

Projected

229 pts

~1.6 RP (district)

Teams: 61, 5000, 348

Auto

56.7 25%

Teleop

98.0 44%

Endgame

68.4 31%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack
· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 53%

Supercharged: 6%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.49 · Blue 1.65

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score210.6pts

Blue projected score229pts

Red win probability44%

Event bonus sample158alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 53%, blue 49%

Supercharged bonusred 6%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -18.4
Score range: 175–265
Upset likelihood: 44%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 360 vs event baseline 201.8.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

532.9Season APEX555.3

44Auto56.7

115.1Teleop98

50.4Endgame68.4

45Consistency36

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	44	68
teleop	55	74
endgame	20	59
foul	10	30
total	129	231

Result

Final score

129 – 231

Prediction correct · off by 41.8 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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