Qualification · Qualification 47
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
144.37 – 98.89
64%36%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
102 – 106
Prediction missed · off by 24.7 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 429.6 ±11.2
Season APEX 77.7Event APEX 17.53Rank 17Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 82.9Event APEX 19.42Rank 30Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 269Event APEX 107.42Rank 5Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 200.3 ±12.8
Season APEX 42.3Event APEX 18.2Rank 28Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 95.1Event APEX 46.48Rank 9Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 62.9Event APEX 34.21Rank 27Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 6367, 1350, 10254
59
/ 100 compatProjected
144.4 pts
~1.9 RP (district)
Teams: 6367, 1350, 10254
Auto
24.0 17%
Teleop
72.8 52%
Endgame
43.2 31%
Strengths
- · Reliable endgame stack
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 58%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 3719, 1735, 2168
39
/ 100 compatProjected
98.9 pts
~1.3 RP (district)
Teams: 3719, 1735, 2168
Auto
8.0 8%
Teleop
60.3 64%
Endgame
26.6 28%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Thin autonomous coverage
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 58%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.9 · Blue 1.26
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score144.4pts
Blue projected score98.9pts
Red win probability64%
Event bonus sample158alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 58%, blue 49%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 3%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 45.5
- Score range
- 68–175
- Upset likelihood
- 36%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
429.6Season APEX200.3
24Auto8
72.8Teleop60.3
43.2Endgame26.6
91Consistency5
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 16 | 25 |
| teleop | 76 | 59 |
| endgame | 10 | 22 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 102 | 106 |
Result
Final score
102 – 106
Prediction missed · off by 24.7 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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