Qualification · Qualification 41

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

117.17 – 23.32

76%24%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

223 – 64

Prediction correct · off by 73.3 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 506.8 ±9.8

1350The Rambots

Season APEX 82.9Event APEX 1.75Rank 30Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6324The Blue Devils

Season APEX 268.7Event APEX 104.53Rank 6Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10973Sea Raiders

Season APEX 155.2Event APEX 10.89Rank 22Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 196 ±13.3

1474Titans

Season APEX 23.5Event APEX -28.81Rank 32Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97

663Power Sharks

Season APEX 75.7Event APEX 22.29Rank 13Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2262Robo-Panthers

Season APEX 96.8Event APEX 29.84Rank 25Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1350, 6324, 10973

/ 100 compat

Projected

117.2 pts

~2.1 RP (district)

Teams: 1350, 6324, 10973

Auto

22.1 18%

Teleop

61.5 50%

Endgame

39.9 32%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack
· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 55%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 1474, 663, 2262

/ 100 compat

Projected

23.3 pts

~1.0 RP (district)

Teams: 1474, 663, 2262

Auto

3.6 20%

Teleop

2.3 13%

Endgame

12.3 68%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 55%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.13 · Blue 0.99

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score117.2pts

Blue projected score23.3pts

Red win probability76%

Event bonus sample158alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 55%, blue 48%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 93.9
Score range: -8–148
Upset likelihood: 24%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 287 vs event baseline 172.5.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

506.8Season APEX196

22.1Auto3.6

61.5Teleop2.3

39.9Endgame12.3

15Consistency7

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	25	16
teleop	129	35
endgame	54	13
foul	15	0
total	223	64

Result

Final score

223 – 64

Prediction correct · off by 73.3 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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