Qualification · Qualification 36
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
52.52 – 144.47
24%76%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
85 – 134
Prediction correct · off by 21.5 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 255.7 ±12.2
Season APEX 85.3Event APEX 27.28Rank 19Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 107.5Event APEX 2.8Rank 31Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 62.9Event APEX 22.44Rank 27Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 430.2 ±10.4
Season APEX 194.3Event APEX 74.68Rank 12Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 153Event APEX 63.77Rank 18Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 82.9Event APEX 6.02Rank 30Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 1757, 10063, 2168
29
/ 100 compatProjected
52.5 pts
~0.9 RP (district)
Teams: 1757, 10063, 2168
Auto
9.8 19%
Teleop
16.1 31%
Endgame
25.8 50%
Strengths
- · Reliable endgame stack
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 40%
Supercharged: 4%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 1699, 5112, 1350
53
/ 100 compatProjected
144.5 pts
~2.1 RP (district)
Teams: 1699, 5112, 1350
Auto
22.9 16%
Teleop
68.0 48%
Endgame
51.3 36%
Strengths
- · Reliable endgame stack
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 40%
Supercharged: 4%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.95 · Blue 2.13
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score52.5pts
Blue projected score144.5pts
Red win probability24%
Event bonus sample158alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 40%, blue 57%
Supercharged bonusred 4%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -91.9
- Score range
- 22–175
- Upset likelihood
- 24%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
255.7Season APEX430.2
9.8Auto22.9
16.1Teleop68
25.8Endgame51.3
90Consistency38
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 32 | 31 |
| teleop | 41 | 67 |
| endgame | 12 | 21 |
| foul | 0 | 15 |
| total | 85 | 134 |
Result
Final score
85 – 134
Prediction correct · off by 21.5 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
Watch right here, no need to leave the page.