Qualification · Qualification 35

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

182.89 – 85.14

77%23%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

184 – 70

Prediction correct · off by 8.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 501.4 ±10.5

1153Timberwolves

Season APEX 156.7Event APEX 45.09Rank 7Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10254Regal Seagulls

Season APEX 269Event APEX 117.94Rank 5Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

663Power Sharks

Season APEX 75.7Event APEX 19.86Rank 13Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 231.2 ±13.3

6620Voltage Vikings

Season APEX 74.3Event APEX 24.56Rank 24Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5494Bizarbots Robotics

Season APEX 79.2Event APEX 31.03Rank 21Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6367The ElectroLights

Season APEX 77.7Event APEX 29.55Rank 17Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1153, 10254, 663

/ 100 compat

Projected

182.9 pts

~2.2 RP (district)

Teams: 1153, 10254, 663

Auto

45.7 26%

Teleop

77.5 44%

Endgame

53.6 30%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack
· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 58%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 6620, 5494, 6367

/ 100 compat

Projected

85.1 pts

~1.0 RP (district)

Teams: 6620, 5494, 6367

Auto

21.9 25%

Teleop

64.5 73%

Endgame

1.6 2%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 58%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.17 · Blue 0.99

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score182.9pts

Blue projected score85.1pts

Red win probability77%

Event bonus sample158alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 58%, blue 49%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 97.7
Score range: 54–214
Upset likelihood: 23%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 254 vs event baseline 171.7.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

501.4Season APEX231.2

45.7Auto21.9

77.5Teleop64.5

53.6Endgame1.6

57Consistency91

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	42	11
teleop	112	38
endgame	15	16
foul	15	5
total	184	70

Result

Final score

184 – 70

Prediction correct · off by 8.1 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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