Qualification · Qualification 34

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

45.8 – 76.47

41%59%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

79 – 103

Prediction correct · off by 29.9 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 263.8 ±11.7

348Norwell Robotics

Season APEX 147.4Event APEX 41.56Rank 15Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6333Scavenger Robotics

Season APEX 92.9Event APEX 32.15Rank 23Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1474Titans

Season APEX 23.5Event APEX -27.91Rank 32Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 243.3 ±11.7

61BVT Robotics

Season APEX 86.1Event APEX 46.44Rank 26Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3623The Robomingos

Season APEX 82.4Event APEX 25.71Rank 14Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3464Sim-City

Season APEX 74.8Event APEX 4.32Rank 29Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 348, 6333, 1474

/ 100 compat

Projected

45.8 pts

~1.3 RP (district)

Teams: 348, 6333, 1474

Auto

30.5 96%

Teleop

2.0 6%

Endgame

-0.7 0%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 46%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 61, 3623, 3464

/ 100 compat

Projected

76.5 pts

~1.6 RP (district)

Teams: 61, 3623, 3464

Auto

29.6 45%

Teleop

11.2 17%

Endgame

25.6 39%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 46%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.31 · Blue 1.64

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score45.8pts

Blue projected score76.5pts

Red win probability41%

Event bonus sample158alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 46%, blue 40%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -30.7
Score range: 15–107
Upset likelihood: 41%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

Combined score 182 vs event baseline 174.2.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

263.8Season APEX243.3

30.5Auto29.6

2Teleop11.2

-0.7Endgame25.6

40Consistency37

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	16	17
teleop	39	61
endgame	24	25
foul	0	0
total	79	103

Result

Final score

79 – 103

Prediction correct · off by 29.9 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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