Qualification · Qualification 30

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

113.99 – 288.46

10%90%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

64 – 360

Prediction correct · off by 60.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 252.3 ±11

1735Green Reapers

Season APEX 95.1Event APEX 66.76Rank 9Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1350The Rambots

Season APEX 82.9Event APEX 14.34Rank 30Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6620Voltage Vikings

Season APEX 74.3Event APEX 32.89Rank 24Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 667.6 ±8.8

1768Nashoba Robotics

A+

Season APEX 316.5Event APEX 179Rank 1Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6324The Blue Devils

Season APEX 268.7Event APEX 95.44Rank 6Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3623The Robomingos

Season APEX 82.4Event APEX 14.02Rank 14Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1735, 1350, 6620

/ 100 compat

Projected

114 pts

~0.8 RP (district)

Teams: 1735, 1350, 6620

Auto

12.8 12%

Teleop

63.3 60%

Endgame

28.9 28%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 50%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 1768, 6324, 3623

/ 100 compat

Projected

288.5 pts

~2.5 RP (district)

Teams: 1768, 6324, 3623

Auto

32.3 11%

Teleop

155.4 55%

Endgame

94.9 34%

Strengths

· 1768 anchors offense
· Reliable endgame stack
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 50%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.75 · Blue 2.48

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score114pts

Blue projected score288.5pts

Red win probability10%

Event bonus sample158alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 50%, blue 58%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 8%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -174.5
Score range: 83–319
Upset likelihood: 10%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 424 vs event baseline 173.7.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

252.3Season APEX667.6

12.8Auto32.3

63.3Teleop155.4

28.9Endgame94.9

37Consistency40

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	15	66
teleop	34	216
endgame	15	78
foul	0	0
total	64	360

Result

Final score

64 – 360

Prediction correct · off by 60.8 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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