Qualification · Qualification 3

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

148.44 – 331.16

9%91%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

98 – 233

Prediction correct · off by 74.3 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 348.3 ±12.8

3464Sim-City

Season APEX 74.8Event APEX 23.25Rank 29Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1699Robocats

Season APEX 194.3Event APEX 101.91Rank 12Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5494Bizarbots Robotics

Season APEX 79.2Event APEX 23.28Rank 21Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 496.9 ±10

1735Green Reapers

Season APEX 95.1Event APEX 58.75Rank 9Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1757Wolverines

Season APEX 85.3Event APEX 28.57Rank 19Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1768Nashoba Robotics

A+

Season APEX 316.5Event APEX 243.84Rank 1Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 3464, 1699, 5494

/ 100 compat

Projected

148.4 pts

~0.7 RP (district)

Teams: 3464, 1699, 5494

Auto

29.3 20%

Teleop

78.0 52%

Endgame

41.3 28%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 49%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 1735, 1757, 1768

/ 100 compat

Projected

331.2 pts

~2.5 RP (district)

Teams: 1735, 1757, 1768

Auto

56.2 18%

Teleop

178.2 56%

Endgame

81.6 26%

Strengths

· 1768 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 49%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.71 · Blue 2.45

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score148.4pts

Blue projected score331.2pts

Red win probability9%

Event bonus sample158alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 49%, blue 57%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 4%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -182.7
Score range: 112–367
Upset likelihood: 9%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 331 vs event baseline 201.8.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

348.3Season APEX496.9

29.3Auto56.2

78Teleop178.2

41.3Endgame81.6

19Consistency41

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	21	39
teleop	48	115
endgame	29	74
foul	0	5
total	98	233

Result

Final score

98 – 233

Prediction correct · off by 74.3 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.