Qualification · Qualification 29

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

222.15 – 216.16

52%48%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

291 – 167

Prediction correct · off by 59 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 422.4 ±11.7

1757Wolverines

Season APEX 85.3Event APEX 21.62Rank 19Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1474Titans

Season APEX 23.5Event APEX -37.53Rank 32Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5687The Outliers

A+

Season APEX 313.6Event APEX 238.06Rank 2Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 493.9 ±11.7

6333Scavenger Robotics

Season APEX 92.9Event APEX 48.62Rank 23Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5494Bizarbots Robotics

Season APEX 79.2Event APEX 48.74Rank 21Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5000HAMMERHEADS

A+

Season APEX 321.8Event APEX 118.8Rank 3Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1757, 1474, 5687

/ 100 compat

Projected

222.2 pts

~1.6 RP (district)

Teams: 1757, 1474, 5687

Auto

69.1 31%

Teleop

118.2 54%

Endgame

33.4 15%

Strengths

· 5687 anchors offense
· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 51%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 6333, 5494, 5000

/ 100 compat

Projected

216.2 pts

~1.6 RP (district)

Teams: 6333, 5494, 5000

Auto

35.4 17%

Teleop

123.8 61%

Endgame

44.8 22%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 51%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.61 · Blue 1.6

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score222.2pts

Blue projected score216.2pts

Red win probability52%

Event bonus sample158alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 51%, blue 59%

Supercharged bonusred 4%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 6
Score range: 185–253
Upset likelihood: 48%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

High scoring

Combined score 458 vs event baseline 171.7.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

422.4Season APEX493.9

69.1Auto35.4

118.2Teleop123.8

33.4Endgame44.8

103Consistency38

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	105	58
teleop	143	75
endgame	38	34
foul	5	0
total	291	167

Result

Final score

291 – 167

Prediction correct · off by 59 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree